2013 NFL Divisional Round Game One – Saints @ Seahawks
2013 NFL Divisional Round Game One
Saints Vs. Seahawks
Where: Centurylink Field, Seattle, WA
When: Saturday, Jan 11th 4:35 Pm ET on Fox TV
2013 NFL Divisional Round Game One – Breaking it down.
For the second time this season the New Orlean Saints will be traveling to Seattle, but this time it’s the 2013 NFL Divisional Round Game One match up with the Seahawks, and Drew Brees and Company are certainly hoping for an opposite result. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks thumped them in the first meeting (34-7) on Dec. 2nd.
The two teams closed out the season in similar fasion. Seattle lost two of their final three divisional games, and the final game against the Rams was a must win in order for them to win the NFC West. The Saints lost two of their final three games winning their seasons last game by 25 points.
The Saints then managed to win a close one on Wild Card Weekend (@ the Eagles) while the Seahawks rested up in preperation for their first play off game of the 2013 season. Many had picked these two teams to finish the season as the NFC’s #1 & #2 seeds, but the Panthers edged New Orleans out this year by a game.
How They Match Up:
Pro-football-reference (PFF) gives the Seahawks a 72% chance of wining this game, and Vegas picks them to win by at least 8 points. The Saints come into this contest with a lot to prove to the league. Can they do what only one team in the last two years has done? Win in Seattle?
The last time New Orleans won in Seattle was Oct. 14th, 2007, and Seattle has won the last 3 of 5 meetings dating back to Sept 7th, 2003.
AVG. Points/Game: (NFL Rank) – Seattle 26.1 (#7), Saints 25.9 (#8)
AVG. Yards/Attempt: (NFL Rank)
Pass Attempt: Seattle 7.7 (#4), Saints 7.6 (#5)
Rush Attempt: Seattle 4.3 (#13), Saints 3.9 (#25)
Combined: New Orleans 6.0 (#4), Seattle 5.6 (#9)
The reason that Seattles Yards/Attempts leads the Saints, but the Saints Combined Yards per Play leads, is because the Saints pass more than the Seahawks. The Seahawks lead the league in rush attempts (52.31%), and the Saints are #6 passing on 62.77% of their plays.
AVG Points Allowed/Game: (NFL Rank) – Seattle 14.4 (#1), Saints 19.3 (#4)
AVG. Yards Allowed/Attempt: (NFL Rank)
Pass Attempt: Seattle 5.3 (#1), Saints 6.1 (#7)
Rush Attempt: Seattle 3.9 (#7), Saints 4.6 (#27)
Combined/Attempt: Seathawks 4.4 (#1), Saints 5.1 (#10)
Stats provided by http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/team-stats/
The Seahawks boast the NFL’s best Defense this year in Points Allowed Per Game, Yards Allowed per Pass Attempt and Average Yards Allowed/Play. The two teams are neck & neck in points per game, and on the offensive side when passing the ball, but since Seattle’s Defense leads the league in pass yards allowed/attempt, New Orleans is in for another tough test.
The flip side is that Seattle also leads the league in rushing attempts, averaging 4.3 yd/att while New Orleans has allowed an average of 4.6 yds/att. Look for Seattle to pound it on the ground to keep Drew Brees off the field.
If the Saints fail to contain Russell Wilson’s scrambling, then it could be the big difference maker in the 2013 NFL Divisional Round game one. He has rushed for 1,028 yards in his first two years in the league, and busted a 27 yard run for his longest in 2013. The Saints have a tough row to hoe in Seattle on Saturday.