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2014 AFC Championship Game – New England @ Denver

2014 AFC Championship Game – New England @ Denver

01/14/2014 @ 3:42 pm
by dchale5050
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2014 AFC Championship Game

New England Vs. Denver

When: Sunday, Jan 19th 3:00 Pm Et Tv Cbs

Where: Sports Authority Field At Mile High

2014 AFC Championship Game – Breaking it down.

It could easily come down to the defenses of these two teams in the 2014 AFC Championship Game. The Denver & New England offenses typify  the modern day NFL. Pass more than rush. The two teams remaining in the NFC are the opposite. 

Offenses Side By Side:

OFFENSE

Stats <> TEAM

Denver

New England

AVG. Points/Game (Rank)

37.9 (#1)

27.8 (#4)

AVG. Yards/Play: (Rank)

Pass Attempt:

8.1 (#1)

6.5 (#16)

Rush Attempt:

4.1 (#21)

4.4 (#10)

Combined:

6.3 (#1)

5.4 (#13)

AVG Plays/Game: (Rank)

Pass:

42.2 (#2)

38.4 (#8)

Rush:

28.8 (#12)

30.4 (#6)

Combined:

72.2 (#1)

71.2 (#2)

When Denver is on offense:

Stats <> TEAM

Denver Offense

N. England Defense

TEAM <> Stats

AVG. Points/Game (Rank)

37.9 (#1)

21.1 (#10)

Points Allowed/Game (Rank)

AVG. Yards/Play: (Rank)

Yards Allowed/Play: (Rank)

Pass Attempt:

8.1 (#1)

6.5 (#13)

Pass Attempt:

Rush Attempt:

4.1 (#21)

4.5 (#24)

Rush Attempt:

Combined:

6.3 (#1)

5.3 (#17)

Combined:

 

Color Code

TOP 5

TOP 10

BELOW 10

BOTTOM 10

Denver switched things up a bit on San Diego in their last win. They came out running early and often, controling the ball throughout most of the first three quarters. They gave the Chargers a taste of what San Diego served up in their win in Denver last year.

A few mistakes in the forth quarter allowed the Chargers to get back into the game, but the final score masked Denver’s dominance on Defense. That bodes well for Denver going into the 2014 AFC Championship Game.

Denver’s defense has taken big hits by the injury bug this year, and has gotten back CB Champ Bailey just in time to see CB Chris Harris Jr. go down in the game against San Diego.

Tom Brady has plenty of weapons with the WR trio of Amendola, Edelman, and Thompkins, and with RB Shane Vereen catching passes out of the backfield, he can certainly mix it up.

When New England is on offense:

Stats <> TEAM

N. England Offense

Denver Defense

TEAM <> Stats

AVG. Points/Game (Rank)

27.8 (#4)

24.9 (#22)

Points Allowed/Game (Rank)

AVG. Yards/Play: (Rank)

 

 

Yards Allowed/Play: (Rank)

Pass Attempt:

6.5 (#16)

6.6 (#15)

Pass Attempt:

Rush Attempt:

4.4 (#10)

3.9 (#8)

Rush Attempt:

Combined:

5.4 (#13)

5.3 (#16)

Combined:

Stats provided by http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/team-stats/

Over Denver’s last three games, they’ve allowed 10 fewer points-per-game (14.7) than they averaged during the 2013 season. That almost matches Seattle’s #1 ranking of 14.5.

They’ve also improved against the pass (From 6.6 yds/Att – 5.3) and the run (From 3.9 yds/Att – 3.4), but what effect will the loss of Chris Harris have? Expect Brady to pick on his replacement, and if that replacement is Quentin Jammer Denver is in trouble.

CB Chris Carter is healthy again. He’s fast, but penalty prone, and a long pass interferance penalty can cost you the game, especially at this level. The rookie Kayvon Webster has shown potential, but is still a rookie and has a lot to learn.

The Denver defense matches up better with the Patriots offense than the other way around. The Patriots defense managed to slow down Peyton in their first meeting this year, but all bets are off in this one.

I expect a balanced game out of both teams here, and the mistakes will most likely determine this one. The Patriots are the second LEAST penalised team in the league. The Broncos rank 28th averaging 7.2 penalties per game.

The Team Givaways (fumbles & interceptions) category has New England at .3 per game over the last three games, and Denver at .7 by comparison. That is a big improvement for Denver as their season average was 1.6 per game.

I think that Peyton Manning and the Broncos have too much riding on this 2014 AFC Championship Game, and that they will hold off the Patriots in a close contest.

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