Home / NFL Blog /

2014 Super Bowl Teams Are Set – Why Will Seattle Lose?

2014 Super Bowl Teams Are Set – Why Will Seattle Lose?

01/20/2014 @ 7:59 am
by dchale5050
Comments are off for this post.

2014 Super Bowl Teams Are Set

#1 Seeds Facing off!

The 2014 Super Bowl Teams feature the two teams that

finished the regular season atop their respective divisions. 

The last time that happened was in Super Bowl XLIV (four years ago) and the New Orleans Saints (NFC) beat Peyton Manning’s Indianapolis Colts (AFC). You can bet that Peyton hasn’t forgotten that fealing! The time before that was more than 20 years ago (1993) when Dallas (NFC) beat Buffalo (AFC). 

Comparing the 2014 Super Bowl Teams

 How the Offenses look side by side.

OFFENSE

Stats <> TEAM

Denver

Seattle

AVG. Points/Game (Rank)

37.9 (#1)

26.1 (#7)

 

 

 

AVG. Yards/Play: (Rank)

   

Pass Attempt:

8.1 (#1)

7.7 (#4)

Rush Attempt:

4.1 (#21)

4.3 (#13)

Combined:

6.3 (#1)

5.6 (#9)

 

 

 

AVG Plays/Game: (Rank)

   

Pass:

42.2 (#2)

25.8 (#32)

Rush:

28.8 (#12)

32.0 (#2)

Combined:

72.2 (#1)

60.5 (#29)

 

Color Code

TOP 5

TOP 10

BELOW 10

BOTTOM 10

A quick glance is all it takes to see that these two offenses are at opposite ends of the spectrum, with Denver producing a record breaking year, while Seattles defense allowed them to focus on the “pound the ground” approach. The thing that is striking about Seattle’s passing game, is that when they do pass, they are 4th in the league in yards gained per pass play.

The notable difference is that Denver leads the league in the average number of offenseve plays per game due to the hurry up nature of their offense, while Seattle is at the other end of that statistic. Seattle was dead last in the league during the regular season in pass attempts, and #2 in rush attempts. It’s rare in the modern day NFL for a team to rush more than they pass.

When Denver is on Offense:

Stats <> TEAM

Denver Offense

Seattle Defense

TEAM <> Stats

AVG. Points/Game (Rank)

37.9 (#1)

14.4 (#1)

Points Allowed/Game (Rank)

 

 

 

 

AVG. Yards/Play: (Rank)

 

 

Yards Allowed/Play: (Rank)

Pass Attempt:

8.1 (#1)

5.3 (#1)

Pass Attempt:

Rush Attempt:

4.1 (#21)

3.9 (#7)

Rush Attempt:

Combined:

6.3 (#1)

4.4 (#1)

Combined:

Something has to give here, and the place that looks like the difference maker is the Denver running game. The regular season averages are not the best indicator of what may happen during this game, but a closer look at the two games each of these teams has played in this years post season will shed some light on what we may expect.

Denver rushed 34 times & passed 36 times against San Diego. Against New England, they rushed 28 times vs. 43 pass attempts. Peyton Manning will take what you give him, and the passing game against New England was on fire, with Peyton throwing for 400 yards and two TD’s with no turn overs.

The Turn Overs (especially fumbles) were an issue all year long for Denver. On the other side, Seattle’s defense topped the league in takeaways with a +20. John Fox & his assistants have deffinately been preaching the ball protection sermon on Sunday as Denver has substantially reduced thier turnovers toward the end of the year. 

When Seattle is on Offense:

Stats <> TEAM

Seattle Offense

Denver Defense

TEAM <> Stats

AVG. Points/Game (Rank)

26.1 (#7)

24.9 (#22)

Points Allowed/Game (Rank)

AVG. Yards/Play: (Rank)

   

Yards Allowed/Play: (Rank)

Pass Attempt:

7.7 (#4)

6.6 (#15)

Pass Attempt:

Rush Attempt:

4.3 (#13)

3.9 (#8)

Rush Attempt:

Combined:

5.6 (#9)

5.3 (#16)

Combined:

Seattles offense has been somewhat overlooked because of the play of their defensive unit this year, but anytime you are ranked in the top ten in scoring, and you are at the top of your Division in wins, you are doing something right. The stat that keeps jumping out at me is the yards per pass attempt.

What if Seattle comes out throwing the ball against the Denver Defense that has been hit hard by injuries in it’s secondary. Could that be the difference maker in the 2014 Super Bowl Game? It strikes me as an approach that Seattle MUST take if they expect to keep pace with the Denver Offense.

Denver’s rush defense has been stingy, and the argument that it’s because teams have abandoned the run while “playing catch up” no longer holds true. A quick look at the yards per attempt will dispell that notion. New England had averaged 5.4 yards per attempt over their last three games.

Denver held them to 4.0 yards per attempt:

Tom Brady, 2 ATT, 7 YDS, 3.5 AVG/ATT

Shane Vereen, 4 ATT, 34 YDS, 8.5 AVG/ATT

Stevan Ridley, 5 ATT, 17 YDS, 3.4 AVG/ATT

LeGarrette Blount, 5 ATT, 6 YDS, 1.2 AVG/ATT

The fact that Denver shut down Blount right away changed what the Patriots had become used to doing during the last few games this year. Blount was tied with Kansas City’s Jamaal Charles for 6th in the league with an average of 5.0 yards per attempt this year, and without his production the Patriot’s drives stalled.

Averaging 4.2 yards per carry this year, Marshawn Lynch is having his usual workman like performances. Nothing earth shattering, but Seattle can count on him to grind out 70-80 yards/game. That just won’t cut it with this Denver offense controlling the tempo of the game.

Seattle will need to match the points that Peyton will get, regardless of how good the Seahawks secondary is. I’m not sure that their offense can keep the ball away from Peyton, and I’m quite certain that their defense cannot shut down the most prolific high scoring offense of all time!

What do you think of the 2014 Super Bowl Teams chances?

Share this article

Comments are closed.